Lorca Deportiva vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LUC
1 - 1
LOR
26%
30%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
TAL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
LOR
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
ALG
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 4
LOR
26%
30%
43%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
BAZ
3 - 3
GRA
42%
29%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
LUC
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 0
GRA
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 0
RJA
47%
27%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALG
0 - 1
GRA
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |