Lorca Deportiva vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LHO
2 - 0
LOR
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -3 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
PLU
2 - 0
LOR
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -4 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LHO
2 - 0
ABA
80%
14%
6%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 0
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 0
ABA
61%
22%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PIN
1 - 0
ABA
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 2
CAR
18%
23%
60%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |