Lorca Deportiva vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
YEC
2 - 4
LOR
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
4 - 0
LUM
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 11 | 45 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MAZ
0 - 1
LOR
14%
23%
63%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 0
JUM
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PUL
1 - 1
LOR
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 21 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 2
CCS
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CPE
0 - 0
ABA
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 2
PIN
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
YEC
0 - 1
ABA
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |