Lorca Deportiva vs Calasparra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
PIN
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
LOR
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
CIE
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PUT
2 - 0
LOR
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
CCS
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 2
PLU
45%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 1
CAL
28%
25%
48%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
PUL
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAL
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 3
LHO
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |