Lorca Deportiva vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 0
LOR
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 1
LOR
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
ECI
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 1
LOR
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
GRA
44%
29%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LUC
3 - 0
MER
23%
28%
49%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MER
2 - 2
TAL
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 2
MER
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MER
0 - 0
ALG
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |