Lorca Deportiva vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
LOR
15%
23%
63%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PIN
1 - 0
LOR
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CCS
1 - 2
LOR
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 2
CPE
81%
13%
5%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 3
CCS
21%
23%
57%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CPE
3 - 0
BAL
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
3 - 1
CAL
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 3
YEC
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |