Lorca Deportiva vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
JUM
2 - 2
BAL
25%
28%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
BAL
4 - 0
AFC
76%
15%
8%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ALQ
2 - 2
BAL
12%
24%
64%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
BAL
1 - 2
MOL
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
IMP
1 - 1
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |