Lorca Deportiva vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
HER
1 - 1
LOR
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 4
CAS
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CAD
0 - 0
LOR
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
LOR
3 - 1
ALM
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 0
LOR
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ALA
1 - 2
VAD
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
XER
0 - 2
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 1
POL
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
CIU
5 - 1
ALA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ALA
1 - 2
UDL
63%
23%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |