Lorca Deportiva vs AD Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
4 - 4
ARE
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
MME
0 - 0
LOR
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
LOR
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PON
3 - 0
LOR
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
MME
4 - 2
CIE
86%
11%
4%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
MME
0 - 0
LOR
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
MME
6%
16%
79%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | -3 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
HOR
3 - 4
MME
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
MME
6 - 0
BAL
87%
9%
4%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |