Lorca Deportiva vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 3
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
LOR
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALF
1 - 3
LOR
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
AGD
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
AGD
2 - 0
SFE
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
UBC
0 - 2
AGD
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
AGD
5 - 1
POR
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
G74
0 - 1
AGD
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |