Lorca Deportiva vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UBC
2 - 1
LOR
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
DBN
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
3 - 0
JER
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 1
LOR
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
AGD
1 - 0
ALG
43%
30%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 1
AGD
28%
31%
41%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
AGD
2 - 1
CDZ
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 0
AGD
33%
31%
36%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 0
CDB
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |