Lorca Atlético CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CPC
3 - 0
LOR
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 3
BAL
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BET
1 - 2
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 1
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAD
4 - 0
LUC
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
SEV
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 2
LUC
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
MEL
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |