LONGA vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
IFC
2 - 2
LON
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LON
2 - 1
EFC
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TER
1 - 2
LON
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
VLI
28%
24%
47%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 1
LON
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GEL
1 - 0
JEK
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VLI
5 - 1
GEL
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -3 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
PSV
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GEL
4 - 2
ROO
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GOE
2 - 3
GEL
38%
23%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |