LONGA '30 vs VVOG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
48.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
15º
14º
50
1º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
AZS
0 - 0
LON
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BUI
0 - 0
LON
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LON
0 - 0
HEI
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 2
LON
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LON
4 - 2
MAS
37%
21%
42%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
VVO
2 - 2
BUI
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
VVO
31%
24%
46%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VVO
5 - 0
PEL
78%
13%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 4
VVO
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VVO
2 - 1
QUI
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |