LONGA '30 vs SWZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RIG
1 - 1
LON
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BAB
1 - 2
LON
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LON
1 - 1
BEQ
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MSC
0 - 2
LON
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LON
1 - 2
RKH
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SWZ
2 - 0
BEQ
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MSC
0 - 1
SWZ
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SWZ
3 - 5
RKH
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UDI
3 - 1
SWZ
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 2
ROH
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |