LONGA '30 vs SV Orion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
5º
40
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
SIL
0 - 1
LON
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
LON
0 - 2
UDI
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
MEE
2 - 3
LON
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
RKZ
35%
24%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
JUL
2 - 2
LON
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 4
ORI
18%
20%
62%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 1
AWC
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
MOE
2 - 1
ORI
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 3
HAL
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MEE
3 - 2
ORI
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |