LONGA '30 vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
15º
14º
38
6º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EXC
4 - 3
LON
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LON
1 - 0
SDV
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VVS
3 - 1
LON
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LON
1 - 4
ROH
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
LON
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
BUI
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
4 - 2
QUI
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
PEL
61%
18%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 0
QUI
31%
20%
49%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AZS
1 - 3
QUI
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |