LONGA '30 vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LON
2 - 6
DEB
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HOO
1 - 2
LON
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LON
2 - 1
SCN
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BEQ
2 - 0
LON
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
ALC
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MSC
0 - 2
ROH
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEB
1 - 1
MSC
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MSC
4 - 3
RKH
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HOO
2 - 5
MSC
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MSC
2 - 0
OJC
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |