Long Island Rough Riders vs Ocean City Nor'easters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Long Island Rough Riders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2019 |
LON
2 - 0
LEH
92%
6%
2%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
LON
2 - 0
CSR
63%
18%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
LON
1 - 3
NEW
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 2
LON
7%
12%
81%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
LON
3 - 2
EVE
93%
6%
2%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ocean City Nor'easters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
OCE
8%
13%
79%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
OCE
2 - 1
NEW
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
OCE
3 - 2
LEH
92%
7%
2%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
OCE
2 - 4
REA
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
OCE
5 - 0
NEW
91%
7%
2%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |