Londrina vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
43.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 1
LON
69%
21%
10%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LON
0 - 1
CRB
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
LON
0 - 2
CRZ
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PST
1 - 0
LON
18%
22%
61%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LON
3 - 2
PST
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 2
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
NAU
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 1
NAU
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |