Londrina vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
LON
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
LON
1 - 2
CRZ
29%
30%
41%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
LON
34%
30%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
CRI
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
LON
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
ITU
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAH
27%
28%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
CSA
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BAH
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |