Lommel SK vs Jong Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
4º
3º
27
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
LOM
1 - 0
DEN
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
STL
1 - 0
LOM
32%
25%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LOM
0 - 2
KSK
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
RSC
2 - 2
LOM
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LOM
1 - 1
DEN
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KRC
1 - 1
STL
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 3
KRC
56%
23%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KRC
2 - 2
STL
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
KRC
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
KRC
2 - 2
WAA
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |