Lomello vs Nord Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lomello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 4
LOM
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BIA
2 - 5
LOM
10%
17%
73%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOM
2 - 0
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LOM
2 - 0
TOR
70%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
LOM
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nord Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 2
RIV
13%
18%
69%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 3
CON
10%
17%
73%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CER
2 - 1
NOR
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 3
VAR
8%
16%
76%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ABB
5 - 0
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |