Lokomotiv Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
DOB
0 - 0
LSO
39%
30%
32%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
LSO
1 - 0
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1968 |
BOT
2 - 3
LSO
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
LSO
3 - 1
LSO
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1968 |
SLI
2 - 1
LSO
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
CVA
1 - 0
BVR
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
FKM
1 - 1
CVA
47%
28%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
CVA
2 - 1
LPL
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
CHB
1 - 0
CVA
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1968 |
CVA
0 - 1
SPS
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |