Lokomotiv Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis


79	ELO	76
-7.4%	Tilt	-22.6%
2318º	General ELO ranking	841º
15º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

61%

Lokomotiv Sofia

19.7%

Draw

19.3%

Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

61%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%

19.7%

Draw

0-0

3.3%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.7%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

19.7%

19.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+41%

-8%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Sofia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Oct. 1965	LSO 1 - 0 SPA 64% 21% 16%	78	71	7	0
15 Sep. 1965	MAR 1 - 1 LSO 34% 28% 38%	78	63	15	0
29 Aug. 1965	SSO 1 - 0 LSO 54% 24% 22%	78	78	0	0
29 Aug. 1965	SPA 1 - 0 LSO 46% 26% 29%	78	72	6	0
29 Aug. 1965	LSO 3 - 0 BVR 64% 18% 18%	77	73	4	+1

Matches

Cherno More Varna

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
06 Oct. 1965	BVR 1 - 0 CVA 44% 26% 30%	77	72	5
15 Sep. 1965	CVA 0 - 0 SSO 53% 22% 25%	77	77	0
29 Aug. 1965	SVA 1 - 2 CVA 43% 26% 31%	77	71	6
29 Aug. 1965	CVA 2 - 2 BOT 57% 21% 23%	77	74	3
29 Aug. 1965	CHB 2 - 0 CVA 45% 25% 30%	77	70	7