Lokomotiv Ruse vs Ludogorets III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
82.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
11º
14º
13º
54
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SEP
5 - 1
LOR
87%
10%
3%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SVE
3 - 0
LOR
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
DOR
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
FSV
8%
14%
77%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SEP
3 - 0
LOR
85%
11%
4%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
0 - 1
SVE
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 4
LUD
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 4
DUN
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
LUD
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LUD
4 - 0
SHU
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |