Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
14º
14º
34
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
3 - 3
HEB
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
1 - 1
LSO
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
2 - 3
LPL
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LPL
1 - 2
CVA
35%
30%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
LPL
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 4
LSO
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
0 - 3
CSK
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 0
SSO
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PAF
4 - 0
CSK
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |