Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
9º
6º
59
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LPL
3 - 0
CVA
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
SEP
0 - 1
LPL
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LPL
1 - 0
BOT
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
LPL
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
LSO
0 - 0
LPL
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
SEP
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSK
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CSK
4 - 0
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 1
CSK
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 0
LSO
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |