Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
SSO
3 - 0
LPL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LPL
2 - 0
SVE
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VID
0 - 3
LPL
16%
24%
60%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
LPL
4 - 2
BER
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
LPL
25%
27%
49%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
KAL
0 - 5
CVA
20%
29%
51%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 2
CHB
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 0
CVA
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 1
LUD
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |