Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Pavlikeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
7º
7º
40
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
OFK
1 - 0
LOK
28%
24%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LOK
1 - 2
BDI
48%
22%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
LOD
1 - 1
LOK
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LOK
4 - 1
ETR
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VIH
1 - 0
LOK
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SEV
6 - 0
PAV
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PAV
3 - 0
OFK
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BDI
1 - 1
PAV
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
PAV
0 - 0
LOD
56%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ETR
2 - 3
PAV
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |