Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Pavlikeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
4º
4º
52
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
46.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
OGI
0 - 2
LOK
12%
16%
72%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LOK
5 - 1
BTL
58%
20%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LOD
1 - 2
LOK
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LOK
3 - 0
JUV
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 3
LOK
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BTL
0 - 3
PAV
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PAV
2 - 1
JUV
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAV
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PAV
1 - 2
VIH
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SEV
1 - 2
PAV
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +2 |