Europa League 1/32
Global 6-1
Lokeren vs Red Boys Differdange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
LOK
1 - 1
LIE
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
KSV
0 - 2
LOK
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
MOL
1 - 0
LOK
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
RBD
0 - 3
LOK
21%
21%
58%
|
79 | 14 | 65 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
LOK
1 - 0
OOS
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Red Boys Differdange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
RBD
0 - 3
LOK
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 79 | 65 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
RBD
1 - 4
LYO
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 78 | 64 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1974 |
LYO
7 - 0
RBD
93%
5%
2%
|
14 | 77 | 63 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
ACM
3 - 0
RBD
87%
10%
3%
|
14 | 89 | 75 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
RBD
1 - 4
ACM
16%
25%
59%
|
14 | 89 | 75 | 0 |