Lokeren vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BRU
2 - 2
LOK
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LOK
1 - 1
KVC
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
1 - 2
LOK
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
LOK
1 - 1
STR
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
LOK
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 2
RWD
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
BRU
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
KVC
1 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 0
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
STR
1 - 1
EXC
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |