Lokeren vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
LOK
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
2 - 1
LOK
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
LOK
3 - 0
ANT
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 2
LOK
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LOK
2 - 0
RAA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 2
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 0
EXC
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 1
BRU
26%
24%
51%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BER
1 - 1
EXC
26%
25%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 2
KVC
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |