Lokeren vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 4
LOK
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
LOK
5 - 3
SDL
50%
24%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
GNK
1 - 1
LOK
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LOK
0 - 4
GEN
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
KVC
3 - 3
LOK
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
STR
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
BRU
1 - 2
EXC
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
0 - 0
LOM
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LIE
1 - 0
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
KSK
86%
11%
4%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | -1 |