Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Lokeren vs B68 Toftir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
TOF
2 - 4
LOK
15%
20%
65%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
SDL
1 - 3
LOK
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
LOK
3 - 0
HAR
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
LOK
2 - 1
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
GEN
3 - 2
LOK
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
B68 Toftir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
VAG
1 - 6
TOF
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
TOF
2 - 4
LOK
15%
20%
65%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
TOF
0 - 2
B36
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
EBS
1 - 2
TOF
41%
24%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
TOF
4 - 2
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |