Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Loja vs Real Valladolid Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
LOJ
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 1
LOJ
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
LOJ
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
UDS
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
LOJ
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
VAL
15%
22%
64%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
AST
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CDH
1 - 4
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 2
NUM
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |