Loja vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ADR
0 - 3
LOJ
11%
25%
64%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LOJ
3 - 2
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RON
3 - 2
LOJ
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 0
LOJ
33%
29%
39%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 0
VEL
46%
25%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 2
NIJ
29%
27%
43%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 0
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
HUE
60%
23%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |