Loja vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 1
LOJ
74%
18%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
LOJ
0 - 2
FUE
29%
28%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BAZ
1 - 0
LOJ
66%
22%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
LOJ
0 - 2
UBE
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
LOJ
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
MOT
17%
27%
56%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
60%
24%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 3
ALH
16%
24%
60%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |