Loja vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
VAN
2 - 1
LOJ
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
LOJ
2 - 1
UDS
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
0 - 1
LOJ
32%
27%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LOJ
2 - 1
ALH
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
LOJ
1 - 2
MAL
27%
27%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
MAN
1 - 0
UBE
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
MAN
1 - 1
G74
25%
26%
50%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAN
64%
22%
14%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
MAN
2 - 0
ANT
47%
26%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |