Logan Lightning vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
IPS
2 - 2
LOG
36%
23%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LOG
1 - 1
EAS
39%
22%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 1
LOG
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOG
2 - 1
ALB
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
LOG
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALB
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
UNI
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAP
5 - 2
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HPH
1 - 0
UNI
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
ROC
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |