Logan Lightning vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 4
IPS
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
LOG
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 5
LOG
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 1
LOG
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 2
EAS
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
QUE
3 - 1
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
QUE
5 - 0
PIN
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
LOG
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 4
QUE
18%
19%
63%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |