Logan Lightning vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 1
LOG
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LOG
4 - 0
UNI
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 2
LOG
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LOG
1 - 1
CAP
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 4
QUE
10%
17%
74%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 1
IPS
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
QUE
4 - 2
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 5
QUE
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
QUE
4 - 0
BRI
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |