Logan Lightning vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
LOG
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 4
GCK
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
4 - 3
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
2 - 3
EAS
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 2
LOG
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 2
PEN
14%
17%
69%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PEN
7 - 3
CAP
84%
11%
6%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
MOR
70%
17%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
OLY
6 - 1
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 0
BRI
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |