Logan Lightning vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 3
QUE
16%
20%
63%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 1
LOG
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LOG
4 - 0
UNI
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 2
LOG
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LOG
1 - 1
CAP
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 0
ALB
55%
21%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
WOL
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 1
PEN
31%
24%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
CAP
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 2
PEN
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |