Logan Lightning vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
55.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 1
LOG
58%
20%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
OLY
3 - 0
LOG
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
LOG
3 - 2
GOL
25%
20%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
RED
0 - 4
LOG
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MAG
0 - 3
LOG
19%
18%
63%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 2
BRR
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 6
MOR
18%
19%
63%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 3
GCK
34%
24%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -3 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 4
MOR
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 3
QUE
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |