Logan Lightning vs Mitchelton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
LOG
2 - 3
ALB
60%
20%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 3
PEN
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 0
LOG
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 2
QUE
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 3
EAS
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 0
MIT
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 3
ROC
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IPS
0 - 4
MIT
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
MIT
4 - 1
CAP
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |