Logan Lightning vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
IPS
0 - 0
PEN
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 0
IPS
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 4
IPS
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | +5 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
IPS
0 - 0
TAR
17%
23%
60%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
PIN
1 - 0
IPS
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |