Logan Lightning vs Gold Coast United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
60.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 0
LOG
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BRR
2 - 2
LOG
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BRR
2 - 2
LOG
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
LOG
3 - 2
CAP
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 4
LOG
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GOL
2 - 1
BRI
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GOL
1 - 1
MOR
47%
22%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
GOL
46%
21%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 4
GOL
23%
19%
58%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GCK
0 - 4
GOL
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |