Logan Lightning vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 3
LOG
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 1
QUE
14%
18%
69%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LOG
2 - 0
EAS
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
5 - 1
LOG
82%
11%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 1
BRI
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GCK
2 - 1
BRR
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GCK
2 - 0
CAP
84%
11%
6%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
GCK
4 - 0
MAG
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 3
GCK
24%
20%
57%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
QUE
3 - 2
GCK
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |